Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.044405 0.051779 0.059882 0.069430 0.080356 0.092452 0.106840
2025-06-08 0.032374 0.041754 0.053019 0.067479 0.085479 0.107071 0.134852
2025-06-15 0.026560 0.037384 0.051414 0.070780 0.096641 0.129784 0.175240
2025-06-22 0.021273 0.032421 0.047904 0.070706 0.103100 0.147078 0.210810
2025-06-29 0.016903 0.027731 0.043753 0.068781 0.106373 0.160092 0.241817
2025-07-06 0.013871 0.024352 0.040782 0.067851 0.110587 0.174493 0.275960
2025-07-13 0.012456 0.023209 0.040941 0.071532 0.121938 0.200289 0.329267
2025-07-20 0.011094 0.021871 0.040511 0.074084 0.131643 0.224357 0.382115
2025-07-27 0.009306 0.019427 0.037793 0.072331 0.133925 0.236687 0.417308
2025-08-03 0.007990 0.017608 0.035865 0.071608 0.137716 0.251634 0.457892
2025-08-10 0.006715 0.015619 0.033296 0.069302 0.138322 0.261060 0.489764
2025-08-17 0.005741 0.014064 0.031307 0.067775 0.140066 0.272458 0.525834
2025-08-24 0.005067 0.013055 0.030302 0.068114 0.145514 0.291274 0.577369
2025-08-31 0.004314 0.011715 0.028396 0.066357 0.146658 0.302255 0.615600
2025-09-07 0.004049 0.011492 0.028880 0.069690 0.158394 0.334336 0.696160
2025-09-14 0.003583 0.010672 0.027886 0.069659 0.163137 0.353235 0.752986
2025-09-21 0.003071 0.009621 0.026182 0.067781 0.163697 0.363804 0.794282
2025-09-28 0.002686 0.008830 0.024976 0.066873 0.166240 0.378563 0.845113
2025-10-05 0.002569 0.008784 0.025631 0.070511 0.179375 0.416468 0.946291
2025-10-12 0.002409 0.008573 0.025826 0.073032 0.190188 0.450304 1.041530
2025-10-19 0.002092 0.007809 0.024419 0.071304 0.190791 0.462057 1.090801
2025-10-26 0.001854 0.007242 0.023457 0.070590 0.193738 0.479185 1.152944
2025-11-02 0.001596 0.006540 0.021991 0.068315 0.192552 0.486853 1.194801